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Les meilleurs voeux pour 2012
2012-01-25 | 05:56:14
Je dois avouer que les souhaits 7, 8, 9 et 10 sont mes préférés. Les 12 souhaits par Josée Jeffrey sont super mais ces 4 là sont exceptionnellement important à mes yeux.
Mes finances
Mes meilleurs vœux pour 2012
Focus Retraite & Fiscalité inc.
Une nouvelle année bissextile est déjà amorcée ! Cette période coïncide avec réflexions et résolutions. Après avoir passé en revue les 12 derniers mois, nous cherchons des solutions pour améliorer notre santé, notre vie personnelle et professionnelle et nos finances.
Voici donc mes douze meilleurs vœux pour 2012 :
1) Protéger les régimes de retraite – Que le nouveau comité d'experts formé par la Régie des rentes du Québec en vienne à trouver une solution pour protéger nos régimes de retraite lorsqu'une entreprise se retrouve en difficulté.
2) Conserver son emploi - Que l'économie se stabilise. Que cessent enfin les mises à pied et que nos emplois soient préservés.
3) Cotiser au CELI en respectant les limites – Que les titulaires de CELI apprennent à maîtriser parfaitement les règles de ce compte libre d'impôt afin d'éviter les pénalités sur les cotisations excédentaires (1 % par mois pour chaque mois où les cotisations excédentaires demeurent dans le compte) et de profiter pleinement de tous les nombreux avantages de ce véhicule d'épargne.
4) Cotiser au REER avant le 29 février 2012 – À cause de cette année bissextile, que les contribuables qui veulent réduire leurs impôts n'attendent pas au 1er mars pour le faire. Il sera trop tard.
5) Organiser ses finances – Établir son budget. Mettre en plan des prélèvements automatiques pour cotiser au REER ou au CELI ou tout simplement pour payer ses factures à temps.
6) Surveiller sa cote de crédit – Demander son relevé de crédit et vérifier son historique. Apporter les modifications nécessaires pour mettre son dossier à jour. Il est possible d'en faire la demande gratuitement par la poste auprès d'Équifax Canada et Trans-Union.
7) Payer les soldes de vos cartes de crédit le plus rapidement possible – Que les personnes trop généreuses qui se sont endettées durant le temps des Fêtes puissent rembourser le solde de leurs cartes de crédit rapidement.
8) Réduire le niveau d'endettement – Au Canada, le ratio de l'endettement par rapport au revenu personnel disponible s'élevait à 152,98 % dans les derniers mois de 2011. Que les ménages et les gouvernements en arrivent à un équilibre budgétaire en diminuant leurs dépenses.
9) Augmenter ses connaissances financières – Que les personnes en quête d'autonomie financière assistent à des programmes mis en place pour acquérir des connaissances sur l'établissement d'un budget, l'épargne, le crédit, les placements, la prévention de la fraude et la planification financière.
10) Demeurer vigilant en tout temps – Que vos achats en ligne s'effectuent sur un site sécurisé et de préférence, auprès d'entreprises reconnues. Vérifier toujours vos transactions sur vos cartes de crédit.
11) Arrêter de procrastiner – Pourquoi toujours remettre à demain ce qu'on peut faire aujourd'hui. N'attendez plus avant de mettre en plan vos actions qui vous permettront d'atteindre vos objectifs.
12) Agir au lieu d'espérer – Pour bien débuter votre année 2012, faites de vos résolutions un plan d'action pour que vos finances s'en portent définitivement mieux. L'atteinte de ces objectifs ne vient pas sans effort ni responsabilité.
Tous mes meilleurs vœux de santé financière et d'accomplissement de vos projets les plus chers.
5 reasons why a fixed-rate mortgage could be your best bet
2011-12-06 | 11:18:10
5 reasons why a fixed-rate mortgage could be your best bet
By Tom McFeat, CBC News
Posted: Dec 5, 2011 8:06 AM ET
Last Updated: Dec 5, 2011 1:00 PM ET
About 60 per cent of the 5.8 million mortgages in Canada are fixed-rate, and the five-year term is especially popular, but things are changing. (Nathan Denette/Canadian Press)
It's a decision that millions of Canadian homeowners struggle with repeatedly during their time as homeowners: Do they choose the security of a fixed-rate mortgage, or opt for the flexibility (and usually lower cost) of a variable rate and hope that rates don't spike higher? But right now, conditions in the mortgage market mean homeowners can actually get the best of both worlds, according to market-watchers.
For years, we’ve seen evidence that people who opted for variable-rate mortgages ended up saving money over the fixed-rate crowd —anywhere from 77 to 90 per cent of the time, depending on the period selected and the assumptions used.
Despite that, 60 per cent of the 5.8 million mortgages out there are fixed-rate mortgages, and the five-year term is especially popular. Another 31 per cent of mortgages are variable- or adjustable-rate. The rest are hybrids that a bit of both types of mortgage built in.
In the past year, we’ve seen evidence that people have been starting to swing more towards variables (see table). But in the past few months, two things have happened in the Canadian mortgage market that may have the “variable-is-best” crowd changing their minds … or at least re-thinking what used to be an easy decision.
Variable has a catch
First of all, the traditional discount that lenders used to apply to variable rate mortgages is fast becoming a thing of the past.
“In the last couple of months, there’s been a big shift back to fixed rates,” says mortgage broker Robert McLister, who edits the popular mortgage news site CanadianMortgageTrends.com. “The average discount went from prime minus 0.80 per cent to prime minus a quarter,” he told CBC News.
That puts a typical five-year variable-rate mortgage around 2.75 per cent.
At the same time, McLister says fixed rates have dropped. Mortgage brokers can arrange a five-year fixed-rate mortgage for as little as 3.25 per cent – or about two full percentage points below the posted rates at the big banks. That rate represents a spread of just half a percentage point over the variable-rate mortgage. McLister says the spread between these two is normally 125 basis points or more (1.25 percentage points).
At this point, you may be thinking that people who have variable-rate mortgages still can't lose, because they can always choose to lock in to a fixed-rate mortgage at any time. Very true. But McLister points out that people who do this typically don’t get the lowest rates.
That’s not too surprising. After all, you can’t change lenders when you switch from a variable to a fixed mortage without paying a penalty, and your lender knows this. “The rates that lenders give to people when locking in are always at least a quarter percentage point above what’s available elsewhere in the market,” he says.
McLister also points out that it’s never immediately clear where or when mortgage rates will bottom out. “Some people may think about getting a variable in hopes of riding down rates if they drop further,” he says. “The thing is, if you’re that good at predicting interest rates, you’d make a lot more money as a bond trader.”
What people are choosing
| Mortgage type | All mortgages |
Renewed/ refinanced in past year |
|---|---|---|
| Fixed-rate | 60% | 56% |
| Variable or adjustable rate | 31% | 37% |
| Combination | 8% | 7% |
Source: CAAMP/Maritz survey, Fall 2011
Fixed-rate bargains
Of course, there are other reasons besides interest rates that can sway someone’s decision on mortgage type. If someone needs to break a five-year fixed rate mortgage early, for example, the penalty (based on what’s called the interest rate differential) can be many thousands of dollars. With a variable-rate mortgage, the penalty is never more than three months interest.
But some people will always opt for fixed-rate mortgages simply for the security of knowing that they won’t be affected by any future upswing in interest rates – at least until their mortgage comes up for renewal.
Here’s another reason to consider fixed-rate mortgages. Some lenders have chosen to stake out some market share by offering exceptional bargains at terms other than five years.
The four-year fixed-rate mortgage – not a mainstay among the big banks – has become a battleground among some other lenders that mortgage brokers use. Brokers can arrange a four-year fixed-rate mortgage for 2.99 per cent at a few non-bank lenders, and the range generally available right now goes from 2.89 per cent to 3.09 per cent. One big bank lender – Scotiabank – offers a two-year fixed-rate mortgage for 2.49 per cent, which is even less than what lenders charge for a variable-rate mortgage.
As for the future, some mortgage experts see the variable-fixed spread continuing to narrow.
'Variable mortgage rates will stay at current levels well into 2012'—RateSupermarket.ca
"Variable mortgage rates will stay at current levels well into 2012," says a panel of five mortgage industry and academic experts surveyed by RateSupermarket.ca in December.
At the same time, the panel members predicted that fixed mortgage rates would stay low or drop further over the next 30 to 45 days, noting that there's less demand for home loans over the holdays.
Still not sure what to go for? Fixed or variable? Short or long-term?
Either way, the good news is that rates are at historic lows. Rest assured that you can’t go far wrong these days, no matter which direction you go in.
“The cost of choosing the wrong term has probably never been lower,” says McLister.
Why use a Mortgage Broker?
2011-11-15 | 05:38:59
Why use a mortgage broker?
gillian livingston
Globe and Mail Update
Posted onThursday, November 10, 2011 6:00PM EST
Buying her first house and getting her first mortgage was an overwhelming experience for Roslyn Judd.
She had signed a deal to buy a new house, she had put down her deposit, and she was pre-approved for a mortgage. Now she had to sign a final deal with her bank to lend her hundreds of thousands of dollars.
“I had never applied for a mortgage before and I found that [to be] the most intimidating part of the home-buying process, so I was procrastinating,” she says. “I think it was the enormity of the money that you are asking somebody to lend you.”
Then a friend in the building where she works suggested she check out her company’s website, RateSupermarket.ca to compare mortgage rates and talk with one of the mortgage brokers featured on the site.
So she did, and her mortgage broker was able to get her a deal with a seasoned lender whose rate was much better than what her bank had offered.
“It was the best because it was so personal,” she says. “It was like someone was holding your hand all the way through the process.”
Rona Birenbaum, a certified financial planner with Caring for Clients in Toronto, recommends all her clients seek the help of a mortgage broker when it comes time to buy a house, or refinance or renew a mortgage.
“It’s the most efficient way to get the best-priced and best-structured mortgage,” she says. “Bottom line.”
“So rather than shopping at multiple financial institutions and negotiating with each financial institution and arm wrestling them to give you the best deal, it’s one phone call and they do the rest for you.”
Vancouver mortgage broker Jessi Johnson says a mortgage broker can help you with all aspects of a mortgage, from figuring out how much you can truly afford, to determining the best mortgage product for you, to finding ways to save you money and pay off your mortgage faster.
In addition, you should expect your mortgage broker to review your mortgage a few times a year to see how you can pay it off faster, whether it’s still the right product for you, and if it’s still competitive. “It’s very rare that you’re going to get that service from a bank,” he says.
For people who are inexperienced with negotiating, who aren’t sure what the best mortgage product is for them or have a less-than-stellar credit rating, they can save time, money and hassle by using a mortgage broker, says Ms. Birenbaum.
“For the average person who would maybe not feel comfortable negotiating, who might feel as though they are not in the position to ask for a better rate, they definitely will [save],” she says. “A half per cent over a 20-year mortgage, is tens of thousands of dollars. It could be potentially huge money.”
But those interested in using a mortgage broker need to do some research, says Ms. Birenbaum.
The brokers she recommends are people with whom she has developed a professional relationship, and she knows they will do a good job because they’ve worked with her clients.
“There’s a wide range of experience, qualifications and quality in this particular industry,” she says. “So reputation and experience are extremely important.”
People ask their financial adviser to recommend a mortgage broker, or they can turn to others who recommend their broker.
Mr. Johnson says you should look for someone with several years experience, who is licensed, and has the title AMP – accredited mortgage professional.
Mortgage brokers are regulated provincially so you can check with your provincial regulator on the website for the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals. The organization also has an online directory that can help your search for a broker.
“Like every industry there are rookies, so be careful when researching your broker, get a good idea about their experience before proceeding,” he suggests.
Many brokers now do the bulk of their work online, Mr. Johnson says, and that’s not an issue as long as there’s enough communication with the client either via e-mail or over the phone – and their online application process is secure.
“To be honest, the majority of our clients don’t leave their living room, and I don’t blame them,” he says.
If a broker asks for a retainer of any sort or any payment made out to them personally, that should be a warning sign, Ms. Birenbaum says.
Mortgage brokers are paid their fee by the lender, not by the person who is using the mortgage broker’s service, says Mr. Johnson. “There’s no cost for the client.”
Be aware though, whether you’re doing a new mortgage, a refinancing or renewal, to ask whether there are any legal or appraisal fees, he says. Legal fees for a new mortgage can be about $1,000, but sometimes a lender may cover both legal and appraisal fees; you just have to ask.
Right now, one of the big questions for those looking for a mortgage is whether to go for a fixed or variable mortgage, says Mr. Johnson. While historically variable mortgages have had better rates than fixed mortgages, that’s not necessarily the case right now.
“Any time the fixed and variable rates are very close I do recommend going fixed and they are close right now,” he says. Up until recently about 90 per cent of the mortgages he arranged were variable, but now more are fixed.
Le marche des obligations et le rendement a revenu fixe ... comment ca fonctionne exactement?
2011-10-21 | 06:30:19
Le marché des obligations et le rendement à revenu fixe – comment ça fonctionne exactement?
par MCAP - 17 Octobre 2011
La première chose qu’il faut comprendre au sujet du marché des obligations est le concept du « rendement ». Le rendement d’une obligation correspond au revenu, au gain, au profit, soit la raison pour laquelle un investisseur investit son argent. Avec une obligation, le rendement dépend de deux facteurs : l’intérêt qu’elle rapporte ainsi que le prix payé par l’investisseur pour celle-ci.
Voici un exemple : Il y a quelques années, Marie a acheté une nouvelle obligation dont la valeur nominale ou le capital est de 100 $ et qui rapporte des intérêts annuels de 10 $. Le rendement qu’obtient Marie est donc de 10 %. Les taux d’intérêt ont baissé depuis que Marie a acheté son obligation et à l’heure actuelle, une obligation similaire d’une valeur de 100 $ ne rapporte que 5 $ en intérêts annuels (rendement de 5 %). Ainsi, Marie doit se réjouir d’avoir une obligation dont le rendement est de 10 % tandis que le rendement actuel n’est seulement que de 5 %, logique, non? Si Marie décide de vendre son obligation, elle demandera 200 $ puisqu’elle sait que les investisseurs n’obtiennent qu’un rendement de 5 %. Son obligation rapporte 10 $ en intérêts annuels, peu importe qui en est le propriétaire, alors le nouvel investisseur qui paye 200 $ pour son obligation aura un rendement de 5 %. Les obligations payent des intérêts à taux fixe jusqu’à ce qu’elles arrivent à échéance. Le prix des obligations, et donc le rendement de ces dernières, change constamment.
Avez-vous déjà remarqué que lorsqu’ils essayent d’expliquer la relation entre le marché des obligations et les taux hypothécaires, les journalistes disent souvent « parce que les hypothèques sont financées par le marché des obligations ». Financées dans le marché des obligations? Bien que cette affirmation ne soit pas tout à fait exacte, elle peut nous aider à comprendre la relation entre les taux hypothécaires et le marché des obligations.
Le marché des obligations (et nous faisons référence aux obligations du gouvernement du Canada) fonctionne selon le principe de l’offre et de la demande. Nous sommes tous au courant, surtout dernièrement, que le gouvernement déficitaire et qu’il a des dettes. Lorsque les rentrées d’argent du gouvernement sont inférieures à ses dépenses, il finance principalement son manque à gagner en émettant des obligations (et d’autres instruments à court terme comme les bons du Trésor). Les investisseurs achètent ces obligations lorsqu’elles sont émises pour la première fois, mais il existe aussi un grand marché secondaire dans lequel les investisseurs achètent et vendent des obligations du gouvernement avant qu’elles n’atteignent leur échéance. Comme dans tous les secteurs de l’économie, l’augmentation de la demande entraîne l’augmentation des prix. Les prix plus élevés des obligations font baisser les rendements puisque le taux d’intérêt de chaque obligation est fixé au moment de l’émission (comme dans le cas de Marie). La demande pour les obligations du gouvernement a tendance à augmenter en période d’incertitude et lorsque les investisseurs perçoivent davantage de risque dans le marché boursier – comme c’est probablement le cas en ce moment. Lorsque l’économie se remet et que les perspectives de gains des sociétés s’annoncent
prometteuses, les investisseurs ont tendance à retourner vers le marché boursier. La demande pour les obligations chute, les prix sont en baisse et le rendement des obligations augmente.
Le rendement des obligations du gouvernement est surveillé de près et sert de point de référence pour d’autres instruments à taux fixe. Les obligations du gouvernement sont considérées comme le type d’investissement le plus sécuritaire et ayant la plus grande liquidité (se vend facilement et rapidement au besoin) disponible au Canada. Elles offrent donc le moins bon retour sur l’investissement. D’autres instruments à taux fixe sont évalués en fonction des obligations du gouvernement. En outre, puisque les obligations du gouvernement offrent les rendements les plus bas, les rendements d’autres types d’investissements sont toujours plus élevés. La différence est appelée « écart ». En se servant des obligations comme jalon, on obtient un cadre de référence de base pour établir la valeur d’autres investissements à taux fixe – comme les hypothèques.
The Bond Market and Fixed Income Yields - How Does it Really Work?
2011-10-21 | 06:25:46
The Bond Market and Fixed Income Yields - How Does it Really Work?
by MCAP - 17 October 2011
The first thing we need to understand about the bond market is the concept of “yield”. The yield of a bond is the income, the earning, the profit – the reason why an investor would invest. With a bond, yield is a function two things: the interest the bond pays and the price the investor pays for the bond.
Think of this example:
A few years ago, Mary bought a new bond with a face value or principal amount of $100 which pays annual interest of $10. Mary’s yield is 10%. Interest rates in the economy have decreased since Mary bought her bond and, today, a similar new $100 bond only pays annual interest of $5 (a 5% yield). Mary must be happy to have a bond with a yield of 10% when the current yield is now only 5%, right? If Mary decides to sell her bond, she will ask for $200 for it since she knows that investors today are only earning a yield of 5%. Her bond still pays annual interest of $10 to whoever owns it, so the new investor who pays $200 for her bond, will earn a yield of 5%. Bonds pay a fixed rate of interest until they mature. Bond prices, and therefore bond yields, change all the time.
Have you ever noticed that reporters, when trying to explain the reason why the bond market influences mortgage rates, will often say "because mortgages are financed through the bond market"? Financed through the bond market? While that statement is not entirely true, it can help us understand the relationship between mortgages rates and the bond market.
The bond market (and we are referring to Government of Canada bonds) operates on the simple basis of supply and demand. We have all heard, especially recently, about the government's operating deficits and overall debt. When the government takes in less than it spends, it finances the shortfall mostly by issuing bonds (and other short term instruments such as Treasury Bills). Investors buy these bonds when they are first issued but there is also a vast secondary market which allows investors to buy and sell existing government bonds before they mature. As with anything in the economy, increased demand results in higher prices. Higher bond prices result in lower bond yields since the interest rate of each bond is fixed when it is issued (like Mary’s example above). Demand for government bonds tends to increase during times of uncertainty and when investors see increased risk in the stock market - like they probably do now. When the economy recovers and the outlook for corporate earnings brightens, investors tend to return to the stock market. Demand for bonds falls off, bond prices are pushed down and bond yields are pushed up.
Government bond yields are widely followed and are used as a reference point or a benchmark for other fixed rate investments. Government bonds are considered to be the safest and the most liquid (easy and fast to sell if necessary) fixed income investments available in Canada. They therefore provide the lowest returns. Other fixed rate investments are evaluated in comparison to government bonds and, since government bonds return the lowest yields, yields on other investments are always higher. The difference is often referred to as the "spread". Using government bonds as a benchmark therefore provides a base frame of reference for valuation of other fixed rate investments - like mortgages.
Les analyses economiques de Benjamin Tal - Benjamin Tal Economic Buzz
2011-10-17 | 13:19:07
Les analyses économiques de Benjamin Tal
Édition d’automne 2011
Par Benjamin Tal
Économiste en chef adjoint, Marchés mondiaux CIBC
L’économie fait du surplace, ce qui réduit la probabilité d’un relèvement des taux d’intérêt
Aucune économie n’est à l’abri d’un accident. Les difficultés temporaires des secteurs de l’énergie et de l’automobile ont durement touché les exportations au deuxième trimestre, ce qui a suffi pour faire baisser le produit intérieur brut du Canada (le PIB mesure la taille de notre économie en tenant compte de l’inflation), et ce, malgré une demande intérieure robuste. De ce fait, le trimestre affiche un résultat plus sombre qu’il ne l’est en réalité et, par conséquent, un rebond est probable au troisième trimestre. En effet, les données mensuelles de juin ont révélé une croissance de 0,2 %, signe annonciateur d’une tendance haussière. À l’exclusion de la forte croissance de janvier, le PIB du Canada a fait du surplace pendant cinq mois. Une croissance nulle n’annonce pas forcément une récession. Par exemple, les économies canadienne et américaine ont connu de nombreuses périodes prolongées de stagnation, qui ont été suivies d’une croissance. Toutefois, étant donné la fragilité de l’économie américaine, il s’en faudrait de peu que les États-Unis et le Canada connaissent à nouveau une récession ou une situation qui s’en approche. De plus, les perspectives mondiales sont suffisamment incertaines pour que l’on s’inquiète de leur évolution au cours des prochains mois.
L’inquiétude de la Banque du Canada à l’égard de l’inflation s’est atténuée
Tant que l’économie mondiale ne sera pas plus solidement ancrée, la Banque du Canada ne sera pas pressée de relever les taux. Elle avait évoqué la possibilité de relèvements pour juillet et septembre, mais ils n’ont pas eu lieu. La Banque ne craint plus de voir la faiblesse des taux d’intérêt déclencher l’inflation et par conséquent, la nécessité d’un retrait des mesures de relance monétaire a diminué.
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Benjamin Tal Economic Buzz
Fall 2011
Article by Benjamin Tal
Deputy Chief Economist, CIBC World Markets
Flat economy makes interest rate increases less likely
Accidents can happen to any economy. Temporary troubles in energy and autos hit exports hard during the second quarter, which was enough to push Canada’s Gross Domestic Product (the size of our economy with inflation factored in) into a decline—even though demand was healthy at home. This made the quarter look worse than it really was, and a rebound is therefore likely in the third quarter. Indeed, June’s monthly data showed a decent 0.2% gain as a signpost of an upward trend. Aside from January’s strong growth, Canada’s GDP has been essentially flat for five months. Flat economies don’t inevitably signal a recession—both Canada and the US have gone through many extended flat stretches which were followed by growth. However, with the US economy so fragile, it won’t take much of a miss to find the US and then Canada in recession or something close to it. Plus, there are enough clouds on the global horizon to be concerned about the next several months.
The Bank of Canada is no longer as worried about inflation
Until the global economy is on a more solid track, the Bank of Canada is being very patient in raising rates. It hinted at rate hikes for July and September, neither of which materialized. Now the Bank is no longer as worried that low interest rates will trigger inflation, and therefore the need to withdraw monetary stimulus has diminished.
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